Nate Silver is a numbers cruncher who correctly predicted the 2008 presidential race in 49 out of 50 states, and every senate race. He has a new book (#12 nonfiction) called The Signal and the Noise about predictions, ones that come true and those that don’t.
My husband peppers me with poll numbers every day. I’m putting Silver’s book on our order list so that I might understand polling as more than a crap shoot.